The process how we calculate a total probability from the direct and
node probability is modified to give more importance to the direct
probability.
This is important if we know about a recent failure. We should not try
to send over this channel again if we know we can't. Otherwise this can
lead to infinite retrials over the channel, when the probability is
pinned at high probabilities by the other node results.
Having a capacity available is important for liquidity estimation.
* We add a dummy capacity to hop hints. Hop hints specify neither the
capacity nor a maxHTLC size, which is why we assume the channel to
have a high capacity relative to the amount we send.
* We add a capacity to local edges. These channels should always have a
capacity associated with them, even in the neutrino case (a fallback
to maxHTLC is not necessary). This is just for completeness, as the
probability calculation for local channels is done separately.
* The maximal reduction in the probability is limited to 0.5 (previously
~0.05), such that we don't get too low apriori probabilities.
Otherwise, this may lead to a too strong selection of large (and maybe
expensive) channels. A two-hop path would get total probability
penalties of:
- 1000PPM/(0.6*0.6) = 2778 PPM in the unsaturated case
- 1000PPM/(0.6*(0.6*0.5)) = 5556 PPM in the saturated case, where the
second hop is saturated
The difference in PPM of 2778 PPM should be enough to bias towards the
first path.
* The smearing factor is reduced. Previously we had to keep a higher
smearing factor in order to make the capacity factor not go to zero
for high amounts, to still give a fully saturated channel a chance.
This is not needed anymore due to the capping to 0.5. A lower value of
the smearing factor lets us more precisely choose a capacity fraction
and the capacity factor is more neutral when it comes to intermediate
amounts.
We set a conservative default value for the capacity fraction, which
still has the effect of discarding exhausted channels, giving a
noticeable effect when about 90% of the capacity is being used.
We make the capacity factor configurable via an lnd.conf routerrpc
apriori parameter. The capacity factor trades off increased success
probability with a reduced set of channel candidates, which may lead to
increased fees. To let users choose whether the factor is active or not,
we add a config setting where a capacity fraction of 1.0 disables the
factor. We limit the capacity fraction to values between 0.75 and 1.0.
Lower values may discard too many channels.
We require channel updates to have the max HTLC message flag set.
Several flows need to pass that check before channel updates are
forwarded to peers:
* after channel funding: `addToRouterGraph`
* after receiving channel updates from a peer:
`ProcessRemoteAnnouncement`
* after we update channel policies: `PropagateChanPolicyUpdate`
We rename `ChanUpdateOptionMaxHtlc` to `ChanUpdateRequiredMaxHtlc`
as with the latest changes it is now required.
Similarly, rename `validateOptionalFields` to
`ValidateChannelUpdateFields`, export it to use it in a later commit.
The active probability estimator can be switched dynamically using the
`Set/GetMissionControl` API, maintaining backward compatibility. The
lncli commands `setmccfg` and `getmccfg` are updated around this
functionality. Note that deprecated configuration parameters were
removed from the commands.
We use a more general `Estimator` interface for probability estimation
in missioncontrol.
The estimator is created outside of `NewMissionControl`, passed in as a
`MissionControlConfig` field, to facilitate usage of externally supplied
estimators.
Implements a new probability estimator based on a probability theory
framework.
The computed probability consists of:
* the direct channel probability, which is estimated based on a
depleted liquidity distribution model, formulas and broader concept derived
after Pickhardt et al. https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.08576
* an extension of the probability model to incorporate knowledge decay
after time for previous successes and failures
* a mixed node probability taking into account successes/failures on other
channels of the node (similar to the apriori approach)
We introduce a probability `Estimator` interface which is implemented by
the current apriori probability estimator. A second implementation, the
bimodal probability estimator follows.
* we rename the current probability estimator to be the "apriori"
probability estimator to distinguish from a different implementation
later
* the AprioriEstimator is exported to later be able to type switch
* getLocalPairProbability -> LocalPairProbabiltiy (later part of an
exported interface)
* getPairProbability -> getPairProbabiltiy (later part of an exported
interface)
We deprecate `QueryProbability`, as it displays the same information as
`QueryMissionControl` less the probability. `QueryRoutes` still contains
the total probability of a route.
We multiply the apriori probability with a factor to take capacity into
account:
P *= 1 - 1 / [1 + exp(-(amount - cutoff)/smearing)]
The factor is a function value between 1 (small amount) and 0 (high
amount). The zero limit may not be reached exactly depending on the
smearing and cutoff combination. The function is a logistic function
mirrored about the y-axis. The cutoff determines the amount at which a
significant reduction in probability takes place and the smearing
parameter defines how smooth the transition from 1 to 0 is. Both, the
cutoff and smearing parameters are defined in terms of fixed fractions
of the capacity.
Extends the pathfinder with a capacity argument for later usage.
In tests, the inserted testCapacity has no effect, but will be used
later to estimate reduced probabilities from it.
This commit adds the maximal capacity between two nodes to the unified
edge data. We use MaxHTLC as a replacement if the channel capacity is
not available.
In tests we use larger maxHTLC values to be able to convert to a
non-zero sat capacity.
This commit refactors the semantics of unified policies to unified
edges. The main changes are the following renamings:
* unifiedPolicies -> nodeEdgeUnifier
* unifiedPolicy -> edgeUnifier
* unifiedPolicyEdge -> unifiedEdge
Comments and shortened variable names are changed to reflect the new
semantics.
We encapsulate the capacity inside a unifiedPolicyEdge for later usage.
The meaning of "policy" has changed now, which will be refactored in the
next commmit.
The bitcoind .cookie contains an autogenerated user (__cookie__) and
password (random string), which can be used instead of the rpc user name
and password. This commit allows for running against bitcoind without
having to access bitcoin.conf like in the case for pure
user/password/zmq configuration.
Changes the grpc proto file, generates the protobuf, and
enables a queried way to retrieve payments in the rpc, where
backward compatibility is enforced by returning all payments
in the database by default. Adds a payment index field to
the returned payments of the rpc call.
Adds a PaymentsQuery struct, which contains parameters to restrict the
response of QueryPayments, returning a PaymentsQuerySlice with the
payments query result. The behavior of this api is the same as
the QueryInvoices one.
This commit renames the `reversed` pagination flag to
`paginate-forwards`, which is off by default. In order to
access older invoices one can set the paginate-forwards flag,
which is more intuitive than setting the reversed flag to false.
bitromortac